According to @Polymarket, Nasry Tito Asfura has taken the lead in the Honduras presidential election, with the market showing a 67% chance he wins, source: @Polymarket on X, Dec 1, 2025. This 67% figure is the current Polymarket-implied probability that traders can reference for event-driven positioning as odds update in real time, source: @Polymarket on X, Dec 1, 2025.